Drain the Swamp?
We got a report from the Soho House private members’ club in Los Angeles:
Oh Dad, you wouldn’t believe it. Hollywood is so liberal… so politically correct. Many of the people in the club were shrieking when the state-by-state results came in. They were in a panic. I was afraid they were going to jump off the roof.
But we will neither celebrate nor look for a sharp object. Instead, we’ll put on our thinking caps. What will a Trump presidency really mean?
To many, including many of our own dear readers, a Trump in the White House means a victory over the Insiders. He is supposed to bring “a new political order,” says The Wall Street Journal.
Didn’t he promise to “drain the swamp”? Didn’t he stand up to the Deep State? Won’t he do to Washington and Wall Street roughly what Sherman did to Atlanta?
“See,” they say triumphantly, “voting does matter. With our man in the White House, no dream is too big. Now, we’ll make America great again. Won’t we?”
But you don’t pay us to cheer with the winners or chant with the losers. In fact, you don’t pay us at all, which makes our comments worth at least what you pay for them.
Sometimes right… sometimes wrong… and always in doubt… we just try to connect the dots.
So let’s take a look…
Fox in the Henhouse
Trumpism hit the markets on Tuesday night like a fox entering a henhouse.
Panic broke out. Feathers flew. At one point, the futures on the Dow were down and seemed to be heading to an 800-point loss.
But when the sun came up, the hens were still alive and a Trump presidency didn’t seem so bad.
Mr. Trump never suggested that he would root out the real problem behind low growth and high inequality: the Fed’s fantasyland credit system. Nor did he ever claim to be an austere conservative. He will not cut spending. He will increase it.
“Stocks surge as investors put money on stimulus,” reports The Wall Street Journal.
Banks and jail operators soared. Apparently, the markets don’t think Trump will be bad for Wall Street or the prison industry. Pharmaceutical stocks rose, too. What does that mean?
Investors must not expect Trump to shake up the medical cronies or lower the cost of drugs.
Other big winners include defense and infrastructure stocks. What? Wasn’t Trump supposed to stop these dumbbell wars and bring the Pentagon to heel?
Pour More Concrete!
And as for infrastructure… we could almost see smiles on two of our favorite claptrap economists – Larry Summers and Paul Krugman.
Both have urged the feds to do precisely what Trump now proposes to do: Pour more concrete.
The drumbeat for a massive infrastructure spending program will be more apparent later when the next crisis appears. But you could have seen it coming for months.
The insiders are desperate to keep the feds’ credit money system alive. But monetary stimulus measures have flopped. All that is left is fiscal stimulus – old-fashioned Keynesian deficit spending.
The president-elect promised it on election night. And markets have – rightly or wrongly – believed him.
They are betting that Donald J. Trump will come into the White House not with a stiff broom, but with more dirt… that he will come not to bury the Deep State, but to save it.
They are probably right.
Further Reading: You won’t read about it on the news. But behind the scenes, the Deep State has been scrambling to avoid an even bigger crisis than the one that hit in 2008. It has nothing to do with stocks… or bonds… or international currency markets. And when it strikes, it could bring down the entire monetary system. To learn more about the coming monetary catastrophe… and the steps you can take to protect yourself, follow this link, click here.